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President Shavkhat Mirziyoyev has signed a decree ordering the creation of a unified digital platform to analyse and predict crime across Uzbekistan’s regions and mahallas — the country’s lowest tier of local governance — with a pilot programme in Tashkent’s Almazar district to be completed by the end of 2027 and a staged national rollout beginning in 2028.
The platform is designed to consolidate data on the causes of crimes, the agencies responsible for responding to them and the preventive measures taken. According to the decree, it will automatically track the results of crime-prevention work over monthly, six-monthly and annual intervals, with the stated aim of reducing the influence of human judgment — and the potential for manipulation — in assessing how effective those efforts have been.
Beyond recording what has already happened, the system is intended to forecast shifts in the criminal environment broken down by region, by individual mahalla and by category of offence. Where the forecast indicates a deteriorating situation, the relevant district authorities will receive automatic notifications calling for additional preventive action.
Annual public surveys and targeted demographic monitoring
The decree goes beyond data aggregation. It mandates annual surveys of residents measuring their sense of personal safety and their level of trust in law-enforcement bodies — a recognition that official crime statistics do not capture the full picture of how secure people feel in their communities.
Separate analytical tracks will monitor crime among specific groups: young people, minors, women, citizens with prior convictions and residents of mahallas already identified as having elevated crime rates. That granularity suggests the platform is intended to drive targeted interventions rather than produce aggregate national figures.
The Almazar district, in the northern part of Tashkent, will serve as the testing ground for the entire architecture before any wider deployment. No details were given in the decree about the technical infrastructure underpinning the platform or the vendors involved in its development.
The initiative follows an earlier announcement that Uzbekistan would introduce a so-called criminogenic stability index — a composite measure intended to incorporate not only official crime data but also residents’ perceptions of safety and estimates of unreported offending. The new platform appears to be the operational vehicle through which that index will be calculated and acted upon.